Benfica vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.5%
Win probability
3.81
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.9%
7-0
3.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.1%
6-0
6.2%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.8%
5-0
9.8%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.7%
4-0
12.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.5%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
4.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.9%
1.5%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1978 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
SLB
2 - 1
EST
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
SLB
0 - 0
SPB
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
ACA
0 - 3
SLB
26%
27%
47%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1978 |
FEI
0 - 1
POR
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 0
FEI
68%
17%
15%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
FEI
1 - 4
BOA
26%
29%
45%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 0
FEI
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
FEI
0 - 1
VIT
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |