Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 1
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
SLB
3 - 0
VST
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
EST
0 - 0
SLB
19%
25%
56%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
SLB
2 - 0
BEL
63%
23%
15%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
FCP
2 - 0
SLB
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
FCP
2 - 0
BEL
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
FCP
0 - 2
SCP
41%
25%
35%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
FCP
0 - 2
SCP
47%
26%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
NAV
0 - 2
FCP
18%
24%
57%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
FCP
0 - 3
NAC
73%
19%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |