Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2006 |
SLB
1 - 0
LIV
34%
28%
38%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
VIT
2 - 0
SLB
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
SLB
4 - 0
PEN
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
SLB
0 - 0
NAC
67%
21%
12%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
UDL
3 - 1
SLB
22%
26%
52%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
FCP
1 - 0
MAR
69%
21%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
BEL
0 - 2
FCP
20%
26%
54%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2006 |
FCP
1 - 1
SPB
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
RIO
0 - 0
FCP
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
FCP
1 - 0
NAV
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |