Super Cup Final
Global 3-3
Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1994 |
BOA
1 - 0
SLB
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1994 |
SLB
0 - 0
VIT
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1994 |
GFC
0 - 3
SLB
16%
24%
60%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1994 |
SLB
1 - 0
UNM
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1994 |
SCP
3 - 6
SLB
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1994 |
SCP
1 - 2
FCP
56%
25%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1994 |
FCP
0 - 0
SCP
47%
27%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1994 |
FCP
0 - 0
BMA
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1994 |
EST
0 - 1
FCP
14%
26%
61%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1994 |
FCP
1 - 0
FAR
69%
20%
12%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |