Super Cup Final
Global 1-0
Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
CHA
0 - 1
SLB
21%
22%
56%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
SAM
1 - 0
SLB
31%
27%
41%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
SLB
4 - 0
AVE
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
PEN
0 - 2
SLB
9%
23%
68%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
SLB
2 - 0
SAM
81%
13%
5%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
BOA
1 - 2
FCP
26%
30%
45%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1985 |
FCP
3 - 1
FCB
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
FCP
2 - 1
SCP
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
BEL
2 - 3
FCP
22%
30%
48%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
FCB
2 - 0
FCP
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |