Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1985 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPC
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
BEL
0 - 3
SLB
18%
24%
59%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1985 |
SLB
0 - 1
FCP
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
SLB
3 - 1
SCP
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
PEN
1 - 0
SLB
10%
22%
68%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1985 |
FCP
1 - 0
VAR
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
POR
1 - 3
FCP
31%
29%
40%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1985 |
SLB
0 - 1
FCP
66%
21%
13%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
FCP
2 - 1
SPB
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
VIZ
0 - 0
FCP
12%
22%
66%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |