Super Cup Final
Global 3-4
Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1981 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACV
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
BEL
1 - 4
SLB
18%
28%
55%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
BYM
4 - 1
SLB
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
SLB
1 - 1
SCP
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
SLB
0 - 0
BYM
52%
23%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
PEN
0 - 0
FCP
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
FCP
1 - 1
AMO
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
ROM
0 - 0
FCP
41%
29%
30%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
VST
1 - 1
FCP
21%
30%
50%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
FCP
2 - 0
ROM
72%
19%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |