Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1981 |
ESP
2 - 0
SLB
15%
26%
59%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
SLB
5 - 1
VST
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
BEL
0 - 3
SLB
18%
28%
54%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLB
22%
28%
51%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1981 |
SLB
1 - 1
SCP
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1981 |
VIT
0 - 0
FCP
22%
30%
48%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
FCP
1 - 1
MAR
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
ACV
1 - 2
FCP
9%
20%
70%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
FCP
2 - 1
VST
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
PEN
0 - 0
FCP
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |