Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
CDM
0 - 1
SLB
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
SLB
1 - 1
UJP
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
SLB
1 - 0
FAB
87%
10%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
FAR
0 - 0
SLB
15%
25%
59%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
OLP
0 - 1
SLB
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
FCP
3 - 0
VIT
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
FCP
3 - 0
BMA
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
CDM
1 - 2
FCP
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
FCP
1 - 1
FAB
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
FAR
2 - 2
FCP
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |