Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
FCB
2 - 2
SLB
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
SLB
6 - 0
UFT
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
SLB
3 - 0
CEL
81%
12%
8%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
VST
1 - 0
SLB
40%
27%
34%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
SLB
5 - 0
SPB
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
FCP
0 - 1
VAR
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
FCP
5 - 1
LEX
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1969 |
NEW
1 - 0
FCP
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
FCB
1 - 1
FCP
17%
24%
59%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1969 |
FCP
0 - 0
NEW
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |