Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
SPB
0 - 4
SLB
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1960 |
UJP
2 - 1
SLB
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
SLB
1 - 0
SCP
66%
18%
16%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
FAB
1 - 3
SLB
21%
22%
57%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
SLB
5 - 0
LGC
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
FCP
4 - 1
FCB
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCP
41%
24%
36%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
FCP
4 - 0
SPC
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
ACA
2 - 1
FCP
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
FCP
4 - 0
LGC
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |