Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
ACA
1 - 0
SLB
22%
20%
58%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
SLB
3 - 0
SCP
56%
20%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
LGC
0 - 1
SLB
18%
20%
62%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
SLB
3 - 0
CAL
92%
6%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
FCB
2 - 4
SLB
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
FCP
4 - 0
SPB
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
ATL
2 - 2
FCP
27%
23%
51%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
FCP
4 - 1
VST
75%
14%
11%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
TOR
0 - 0
FCP
15%
19%
66%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
FCP
3 - 1
FAB
88%
8%
4%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |