Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.7%
10.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
SPC
1 - 0
SLB
8%
13%
80%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SLB
6 - 0
VST
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
LUS
1 - 2
SLB
5%
11%
84%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLB
46%
20%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
SLB
1 - 0
OLH
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
FCP
2 - 0
BEL
52%
21%
27%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
OLH
1 - 2
FCP
36%
21%
43%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
FCP
0 - 1
SPB
85%
9%
6%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
BOA
1 - 5
FCP
34%
22%
44%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
FCP
3 - 1
OEL
86%
9%
6%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |