Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13%
11.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
VIT
2 - 2
SLB
10%
14%
76%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
54%
19%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
SLB
6 - 1
SAL
92%
6%
3%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
SLB
5 - 3
VST
91%
6%
3%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
SLB
5 - 4
OLH
90%
7%
4%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
88%
7%
5%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
SAL
0 - 5
FCP
29%
20%
51%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
FCP
7 - 3
VIT
87%
8%
5%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 3
FCP
40%
20%
40%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
FCP
1 - 1
ATL
79%
11%
10%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |