Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1942 |
OLH
2 - 3
SLB
11%
16%
73%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
SLB
4 - 1
ACA
76%
14%
11%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1942 |
UNI
2 - 4
SLB
18%
19%
64%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1942 |
APO
2 - 4
SLB
9%
14%
78%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
SLB
4 - 0
CAR
91%
6%
3%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1942 |
FCP
12 - 1
CAR
95%
4%
2%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
LEC
2 - 5
FCP
6%
11%
84%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1942 |
FCP
6 - 2
FCB
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1942 |
VIT
1 - 4
FCP
29%
21%
50%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
FCP
3 - 0
SCP
53%
19%
28%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |