Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
SCP
1 - 2
SLB
72%
14%
14%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
SLB
4 - 1
FCB
89%
7%
4%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1941 |
SLB
2 - 1
BEL
77%
13%
11%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
BOA
1 - 1
SLB
16%
18%
66%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1940 |
SLB
3 - 1
BEL
73%
14%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
FCB
0 - 2
FCP
12%
16%
73%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
FCP
2 - 2
BEL
76%
13%
11%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1941 |
FCP
6 - 2
ACA
93%
5%
2%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
SCP
5 - 1
FCP
68%
15%
17%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 1940 |
BEL
2 - 0
FCP
41%
21%
38%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |