Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 7-6
Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
19.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1939 |
FCP
6 - 1
SLB
58%
19%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
SLB
4 - 0
NAC
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1939 |
NAC
0 - 9
SLB
36%
22%
42%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
SLB
3 - 0
LUS
90%
7%
3%
|
86 | 9 | 77 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
LUS
1 - 5
SLB
17%
20%
63%
|
86 | 9 | 77 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1939 |
FCP
6 - 1
SLB
58%
19%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
CAR
4 - 4
FCP
27%
22%
51%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1939 |
FCP
3 - 1
CAR
85%
9%
6%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
FCP
11 - 1
VIT
76%
14%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
VIT
3 - 2
FCP
44%
22%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |