Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.3%
13.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLB
49%
21%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
ACA
1 - 3
SLB
22%
19%
59%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
SLB
5 - 1
SCP
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
LEX
0 - 6
SLB
24%
20%
57%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
CAR
1 - 3
SLB
21%
20%
59%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
FCP
6 - 1
LEX
88%
8%
5%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
FCP
1 - 2
BEL
65%
17%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1937 |
FCP
2 - 0
ACA
88%
8%
4%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
SCP
9 - 1
FCP
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1937 |
VST
3 - 0
FCP
36%
22%
43%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |