Cup Winners Cup Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Benfica vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
EDL
1 - 2
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 32 | 56 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
VIT
0 - 0
SLB
21%
28%
52%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1981 |
CZJ
2 - 0
SLB
57%
23%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
SLB
6 - 1
MAR
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
SAC
0 - 4
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 40 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
CZJ
2 - 0
BWA
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
MAG
3 - 1
CZJ
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1981 |
CZJ
2 - 0
SLB
57%
23%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
CZJ
1 - 1
FVF
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
LOK
0 - 0
CZJ
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |