Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Benfica vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.2%
Win probability
3.94
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.9%
7-0
2.9%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
4%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.5%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.1%
4-0
10%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
6%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6%
2.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1968 |
FCB
2 - 2
SLB
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1968 |
JUV
0 - 1
SLB
42%
24%
34%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
SLB
8 - 0
VAR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1968 |
SLB
2 - 0
JUV
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
38%
26%
36%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1968 |
FCB
2 - 2
SLB
19%
21%
60%
|
48 | 88 | 40 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
FCB
1 - 2
VIT
28%
27%
45%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
VAR
5 - 1
FCB
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
FCB
1 - 5
FCP
10%
22%
68%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
SCP
3 - 0
FCB
87%
10%
3%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | -1 |