Benfica vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.6%
Win probability
3.71
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.4%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.9%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7%
3.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
SCP
1 - 3
SLB
54%
21%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1963 |
FEY
0 - 0
SLB
49%
21%
30%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
SLB
6 - 2
VIT
85%
10%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
FEI
1 - 6
SLB
10%
16%
75%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
SLB
2 - 0
LEX
85%
10%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
FCB
3 - 0
OLH
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
ACA
8 - 0
FCB
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
FCB
0 - 1
BEL
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
LGC
0 - 0
FCB
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
FCB
1 - 1
FCP
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |