Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Benfica vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1958 |
FCB
1 - 0
SLB
18%
20%
62%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
SLB
1 - 0
ACA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
37%
22%
41%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
SLB
1 - 0
BEL
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1958 |
FCB
1 - 0
SLB
18%
20%
62%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
FCB
3 - 0
SAL
70%
16%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
SAL
0 - 1
FCB
60%
19%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
FCB
4 - 0
LGC
57%
20%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
LGC
3 - 2
FCB
68%
17%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |