Benfica vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9%
4.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
SLB
2 - 2
SPC
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
SPB
2 - 3
SLB
24%
22%
55%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1955 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
62%
18%
20%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
SLB
6 - 0
ACA
85%
10%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1955 |
SPB
1 - 4
SLB
32%
22%
46%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
FCB
7 - 0
SPB
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
ATL
3 - 2
FCB
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
SLB
5 - 0
FCB
86%
9%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
FAB
2 - 0
FCB
57%
20%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
FCB
1 - 0
BOA
60%
20%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |