Benfica vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.2%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.8%
4.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
FCP
3 - 0
SLB
42%
22%
36%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
SLB
1 - 1
SCP
57%
19%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
SPB
0 - 1
SLB
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
SLB
0 - 0
BEL
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
SPC
0 - 1
SLB
21%
21%
58%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
FCB
1 - 0
VIT
64%
19%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
VST
1 - 1
FCB
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
FCB
2 - 0
ATL
49%
23%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
ACA
1 - 0
FCB
61%
20%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1955 |
LGC
3 - 0
FCB
54%
21%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |