Benfica vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.8%
Win probability
4.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.7%
6-0
5%
7-1
2.5%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.2%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
4.2%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.2%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
5.8%
3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1942 |
VIT
1 - 2
SLB
29%
21%
50%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
SLB
4 - 3
SCP
50%
20%
29%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
BEL
4 - 0
SLB
51%
21%
29%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
SLB
5 - 1
FCP
56%
19%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
OLH
2 - 3
SLB
11%
16%
73%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1942 |
FCB
2 - 0
CAR
70%
16%
14%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
LEC
2 - 1
FCB
39%
23%
38%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
FCB
8 - 1
APO
70%
16%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
FCB
11 - 1
VIT
40%
22%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
SCP
7 - 1
FCB
94%
4%
2%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |