Benfica vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.5%
Win probability
4.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.2%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.6%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.1%
4-0
9%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.8%
6.1%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.1%
3.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1940 |
SCP
3 - 1
SLB
71%
14%
15%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
SLB
3 - 2
CAR
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
SLB
9 - 1
VST
91%
6%
3%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
BEL
2 - 0
SLB
38%
21%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
SLB
7 - 2
LEX
91%
6%
3%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1940 |
FCB
1 - 1
APO
75%
14%
11%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
FCP
5 - 1
FCB
94%
4%
2%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 1
FCB
66%
17%
17%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
CAR
2 - 3
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
FCB
3 - 1
VST
56%
20%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |