Benfica vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
3.92
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.4%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.7%
4.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 2
SCP
69%
16%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
APO
0 - 4
SLB
25%
20%
55%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
SLB
6 - 0
FCP
71%
15%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1937 |
BEL
1 - 0
SLB
49%
21%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
ACA
1 - 3
SLB
22%
19%
59%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 1
APO
62%
19%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
SCP
7 - 2
FCB
79%
12%
9%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |