Benfica vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.9%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.5%
2.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1976 |
SLB
0 - 0
BYM
66%
18%
16%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
ATL
0 - 2
SLB
12%
23%
65%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1976 |
SLB
1 - 1
BEL
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1976 |
BMA
0 - 2
SLB
12%
23%
65%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
FAR
1 - 3
BEL
38%
29%
33%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
ACA
4 - 0
FAR
65%
21%
13%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
FAR
2 - 0
UFT
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
FCP
6 - 1
FAR
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
FAR
0 - 0
VST
37%
29%
35%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |