Benfica vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
ORI
1 - 3
SLB
14%
25%
61%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
SLB
3 - 1
BEL
83%
12%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
LEX
0 - 1
SLB
17%
27%
57%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
SLB
2 - 0
BOA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
SLB
2 - 3
VST
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
FAR
2 - 2
VIT
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
FCP
1 - 0
FAR
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
FAR
3 - 2
CDM
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1974 |
FAB
0 - 1
FAR
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1973 |
FAR
1 - 1
BMA
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |