Benfica vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.5%
Win probability
3.99
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.1%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.7%
3.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCB
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
TIR
2 - 4
SLB
12%
19%
70%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
SLB
3 - 1
BEL
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
FCP
4 - 0
SLB
30%
29%
41%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
SLB
1 - 0
VIT
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
FAR
1 - 2
SCP
24%
23%
53%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
FCB
1 - 0
FAR
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
FAR
1 - 1
FAB
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
TIR
2 - 0
FAR
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
FAR
2 - 2
ACA
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |