Benfica vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1991 |
ARS
1 - 3
SLB
55%
24%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
FCP
0 - 0
SLB
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
SLB
4 - 1
CHA
76%
17%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1991 |
SLB
1 - 1
ARS
50%
27%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
FAM
3 - 1
SPB
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
FAR
1 - 0
FAM
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
FCP
1 - 0
FAM
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
FAM
1 - 0
CHA
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
FAM
63%
23%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |