Benfica vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.6%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.2%
3-0
12%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
6.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
6.6%
2.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1979 |
EST
0 - 2
SLB
18%
27%
56%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
SLB
3 - 2
VIT
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
SCP
0 - 1
SLB
51%
25%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
SLB
3 - 0
BOA
80%
13%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
SLB
20%
27%
53%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1979 |
FAM
0 - 4
FCP
12%
19%
70%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
FCB
3 - 5
FAM
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
SCP
2 - 0
FAM
82%
13%
6%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
FAM
5 - 1
OLI
77%
13%
10%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
FAM
3 - 0
ACV
62%
21%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |