Benfica vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1973 |
SLB
8 - 0
VIT
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
FAR
0 - 5
SLB
16%
19%
65%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
SLB
2 - 1
UFT
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
LEX
2 - 0
SLB
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
FCP
2 - 2
SLB
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1973 |
FAB
1 - 1
SCP
23%
28%
50%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
FAB
5 - 0
UFT
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
VIT
1 - 1
FAB
56%
26%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
FAB
2 - 0
COI
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
ATL
1 - 2
FAB
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |