Benfica vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
11%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
2.9%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
SLB
3 - 1
SCP
76%
14%
9%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
LEX
1 - 1
SLB
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1970 |
SLB
8 - 0
LEX
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
SLB
4 - 1
VIT
84%
11%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1970 |
VIT
2 - 0
SLB
36%
25%
39%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
FAB
0 - 4
VST
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
SPB
0 - 1
FAB
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
FAB
1 - 3
SCP
32%
28%
39%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
BOA
0 - 0
FAB
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
FAB
1 - 0
LEX
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |