Benfica vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
2.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
SLB
0 - 0
BEL
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
SLB
3 - 0
LEX
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
VAR
0 - 1
SLB
20%
27%
53%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
FAB
1 - 1
VAR
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
FCP
2 - 0
FAB
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
FAB
0 - 1
FCB
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
UFT
0 - 0
FAB
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
VST
2 - 2
FAB
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |