Benfica vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1962 |
SLB
5 - 1
NOR
79%
12%
9%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
SLB
1 - 2
FCP
62%
19%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
OLH
0 - 1
SLB
16%
20%
65%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1962 |
NOR
1 - 1
SLB
38%
22%
40%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
SLB
5 - 1
ACA
90%
7%
3%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
FAB
2 - 1
OLH
67%
18%
14%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1962 |
ACA
4 - 1
FAB
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
FAB
1 - 1
BEL
43%
24%
34%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1962 |
LGC
3 - 1
FAB
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1962 |
FAB
3 - 0
ATL
67%
18%
15%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |