Benfica vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MON
0 - 6
SLB
1%
9%
90%
|
88 | 37 | 51 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 3
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
AEK
1 - 0
SLB
27%
25%
48%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SLB
5 - 0
LEX
72%
19%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
UDL
1 - 2
SLB
17%
23%
61%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
EVE
1 - 1
WOL
75%
17%
9%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
EVE
1 - 1
STO
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
BAT
1 - 2
EVE
28%
29%
43%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
OPA
0 - 1
EVE
34%
28%
38%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
HUL
0 - 4
EVE
30%
29%
41%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |