Benfica vs Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
17%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
7.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
CEL
3 - 0
SLB
45%
26%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
UDL
0 - 4
SLB
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
SLB
4 - 1
AVE
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
SLB
0 - 1
MUD
20%
25%
54%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
SLB
26%
26%
48%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
EST
0 - 1
SCP
16%
23%
62%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 1
EST
57%
26%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
EST
0 - 0
SPB
30%
30%
40%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
BMA
2 - 0
EST
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
EST
0 - 3
FCP
18%
27%
55%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |