Benfica vs CF Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.1%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLB
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ALV
0 - 3
SLB
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
SLB
3 - 1
MFK
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
SLB
1 - 2
BMA
71%
19%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
ACA
1 - 3
SLB
19%
22%
59%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
SPB
2 - 1
EST
69%
20%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
EST
0 - 1
PAÇ
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
RIO
3 - 1
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
EST
0 - 3
ALV
38%
28%
35%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
BMA
3 - 0
EST
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |