Benfica vs CF Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1999 |
DBU
0 - 2
SLB
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
FAR
0 - 1
SLB
16%
24%
60%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1999 |
SLB
3 - 0
VST
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1999 |
SLB
0 - 1
DBU
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
SAN
0 - 3
SLB
18%
25%
57%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
EST
1 - 1
MAR
46%
27%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1999 |
SCP
1 - 1
EST
76%
17%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
EST
2 - 2
VIT
34%
29%
38%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
UDL
1 - 1
EST
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
EST
0 - 3
BEL
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |