Benfica vs CF Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
VST
2 - 2
SLB
22%
30%
48%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
SLB
1 - 0
NAC
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
SLB
3 - 1
SPB
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
CHA
0 - 2
SLB
21%
31%
49%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
SLB
1 - 0
SPB
74%
18%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
EST
2 - 1
BEL
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
FAR
2 - 0
EST
45%
27%
27%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
EST
1 - 1
MAR
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
ACV
2 - 2
EST
34%
30%
36%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1989 |
EST
1 - 0
POR
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |