Benfica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.6%
3.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
LEX
1 - 2
SLB
14%
22%
65%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
SAL
0 - 1
SLB
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
SLB
1 - 1
VST
85%
10%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
BOA
2 - 2
SLB
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
SLB
4 - 0
ESP
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
VAR
0 - 0
EST
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
EST
1 - 0
SAL
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
VST
1 - 0
EST
53%
27%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
EST
1 - 0
BOA
43%
31%
26%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
EST
1 - 2
ESP
50%
29%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |