Benfica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
SPB
0 - 1
SLB
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
59%
21%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1977 |
SLB
6 - 0
ATL
88%
8%
3%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
FCP
0 - 1
SLB
39%
25%
36%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
SLB
4 - 1
CDM
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
EST
1 - 1
BEL
38%
30%
32%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
BOA
1 - 0
EST
77%
15%
9%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
VST
0 - 0
EST
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
EST
0 - 1
ACA
59%
25%
17%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 0
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |