Benfica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.78
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
5.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
ATL
0 - 3
SLB
24%
21%
55%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
SLB
3 - 1
LGC
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
FCB
1 - 1
SLB
21%
21%
58%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
SLB
2 - 1
FCP
78%
13%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
SPB
2 - 2
SLB
16%
19%
65%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
EST
0 - 3
BEL
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
SCP
3 - 1
EST
89%
7%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
EST
2 - 0
VST
53%
21%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
BOA
4 - 2
EST
60%
19%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
EST
2 - 2
VIT
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |