Benfica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
4.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
2.4%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
6.9%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
4%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
2.1%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
3.1%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
7.5%
4.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
SCP
1 - 3
SLB
57%
18%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
SLB
5 - 2
ATL
90%
6%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
LUS
2 - 7
SLB
6%
11%
83%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
SLB
4 - 1
FCP
80%
11%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
VST
0 - 3
SLB
18%
18%
64%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
EST
5 - 2
BEL
44%
22%
34%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
SPB
5 - 2
EST
42%
21%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
EST
3 - 1
OLH
66%
15%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
BOA
1 - 4
EST
31%
21%
48%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
EST
8 - 2
OEL
79%
12%
9%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |