Benfica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.3%
Win probability
4.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.2%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.8%
10-2
0.2%
+8
2.7%
7-0
3%
8-1
1.7%
9-2
0.4%
10-3
0.1%
+7
5.2%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
3%
8-2
0.8%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
8.7%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
4.7%
7-2
1.5%
8-3
0.3%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.8%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
6.3%
6-2
2.3%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
+4
16.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
7%
5-2
3.1%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.6%
5.7%
Draw
0-0
0.4%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
5.7%
3.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1944 |
SCP
3 - 2
SLB
68%
16%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1944 |
SLB
8 - 0
EST
85%
9%
6%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 1
SLB
36%
20%
44%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
SLB
6 - 1
ACA
88%
8%
5%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
SLB
8 - 2
BEL
73%
14%
13%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1944 |
SLB
8 - 0
EST
85%
9%
6%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1944 |
VIT
1 - 4
EST
44%
22%
35%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
EST
5 - 0
VIT
67%
16%
16%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
FCP
1 - 2
EST
78%
12%
10%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
EST
3 - 2
FCP
39%
21%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |