Benfica vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
3.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.1%
5.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 1
SLB
36%
20%
44%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
SLB
6 - 1
ACA
88%
8%
5%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
SLB
8 - 2
BEL
73%
14%
13%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
52%
20%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1944 |
SLB
4 - 1
LUS
94%
4%
2%
|
85 | 8 | 77 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1944 |
VIT
1 - 4
EST
44%
22%
35%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
EST
5 - 0
VIT
67%
16%
16%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1944 |
FCP
1 - 2
EST
78%
12%
10%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
EST
3 - 2
FCP
39%
21%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1944 |
LIS
1 - 3
EST
32%
22%
46%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |