Benfica vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1993 |
SLB
2 - 1
JUV
45%
27%
28%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
SPB
0 - 2
SLB
21%
27%
52%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1993 |
SLB
1 - 0
FAM
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
SAL
0 - 3
SLB
17%
27%
56%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1993 |
SLB
5 - 0
AMO
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
ESP
3 - 1
SCP
23%
28%
50%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1993 |
FAR
4 - 1
ESP
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
ESP
1 - 0
GFC
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
ESP
0 - 1
SPB
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
FAM
0 - 0
ESP
55%
26%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |