Benfica vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
SLB
2 - 3
FCP
52%
27%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1992 |
SPA
1 - 1
SLB
39%
25%
36%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
CHA
1 - 0
SLB
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
SLB
4 - 0
PAÇ
81%
13%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1992 |
SLB
1 - 1
SPA
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1992 |
ESP
0 - 0
CHA
53%
23%
25%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
FAR
1 - 3
ESP
55%
27%
18%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
ESP
2 - 1
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
ACV
0 - 2
ESP
37%
32%
31%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
ESP
1 - 0
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |