Benfica vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.8%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
2.7%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
SAL
0 - 2
SLB
16%
22%
62%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
SLB
1 - 0
BOA
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 1
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
SLB
8 - 0
PEN
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
SLB
1 - 4
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
ESP
2 - 3
SPB
38%
30%
32%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
RDA
0 - 1
ESP
50%
27%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
ESP
2 - 0
EST
46%
29%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
RIO
0 - 0
ESP
67%
21%
11%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
ESP
0 - 1
VST
40%
30%
30%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |